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It's the Programs, Stupid

Network Ratings Drop Again

Week of November 17, 2003

I

            For at least a decade, network television executives have begun each new season by dreaming up excuses for yet another drop in total ratings.  This year, USA Today reports, someone finally got it right:  “Some of the programs just sucked.”

            That little pearl will probably not get NBC Entertainment president Jeff Zucker a front row seat at the Emmys, but it should.  Then again no one watches the Emmys either, so it doesn’t much matter.

             With the November sweeps in high gear, Nielsen Media Research finds ratings for new series down a stunning 12 percent from last year’s new shows.  In the top 10, “Friends,” lost 23 percent of its viewers, “ER” is down 24 percent, and most of the rest are off as well.  To make matters worse, about 20 percent of male viewers between 18 and 24, who are greatly loved by advertisers, have apparently found better ways to kill time.  Super-hyped hormone poppers like Fox’s “Skin” and NBC’s “Coupling,” aimed directly at young men, went over like stale Cheetos at a frat party.

            Jeff Zucker aside, the explanations offered by network executives are considerably more imaginative than the shows themselves.  Maybe too many young men have been sent to Iraq, some suppose.  Perhaps they’re playing video games, renting DVDs, or watching cable.  Advertisers have suggested that network decisions to boot 20 returning shows out of their old time slots might have something to do with it (which I would rank right behind “sucked”), but TV bosses aren’t buying it. 

            Fortunately there are only about 130,000 American troops currently in Iraq, nowhere near 20 percent of 18 to 24-year-old men.  Video game and DVD sales are up, but not enough to explain the drop.  The cable audience has remained steady so the missing men aren’t there either.

            It is useful to look at cable programming since it at least isn’t chasing away its viewers.  It used to be conventional wisdom that cable’s main appeal was sleaze, of which there is still plenty; I once wrote I’d no sooner put cable TV in my home than install an in-pipe from the septic tank.  But what are cable’s top draws today?

            As this is written, the top 10 cable shows for the most recent week included three sports programs, three installments of a Nickelodeon cartoon called “Fairly Odd Parents,” pro wrestling, and three episodes of “SpongeBob SquarePants.”  Except for the wrestling this is relatively decent family fare, if not exactly high culture.

             The networks’ favorite excuse is that Nielsen must be wrong.  They are outraged, shocked, and have demanded an explanation.  There’s more than bragging rights at stake; advertising rates are based on the size of the audience and if shows don’t hack it the networks are on the hook for refunds or free advertising to make up the difference. 

            Nielsen is under tremendous pressure to jimmy the numbers, which I hope they resist.  I suspect the advertisers’ attorneys will keep them honest, though if I were at Nielsen I’d be sorely tempted to simply quote Jeff Zucker and send the TV honchos on their way.

            To elaborate on Zucker’s succinct analysis, most of the shows are trash.  In September, the Parents Television Council released a study of profanity on broadcast television between 1998 and 2002, noting a 94.8 percent increase during what used to be called the family hour, between 8 p.m and 9 p.m.  Ratings fiascos like “Skin,” “Coupling,” and “The Next Joe Millionaire” speak for themselves, but even longtime hits like “ER” and “Friends” have stepped up the sex or gore with disastrous results. 

            No one looks to Hollywood for moral leadership but you would think they could read an income statement.  If not, they deserve a good drubbing – and if it comes at the squishy yellow hands of SpongeBob SquarePants, so much the better.

 

 

 

 
 

 

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© 2003 Brent Morrison